CASE Network Reports, early warning indicator, Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia, econometric model, economic growth, forecasting, GDP, Macroeconomics and macroeconomic policy, CASE Reports, Ukraine

Composite Leading Indicators for Ukraine: An Early Warning Model


The objective of this paper has been to experiment diverse economic indicators in order to help equip Ukrainian policymakers with a relatively simple tool, which could deliver warning signals about the possibility of upcoming economic problems and thereby assist the Government in designing policy instruments which would help prevent or soften a slowdown or recession.